Germany’s latest national election has resulted in a victory for the mainstream conservative bloc, led by Friedrich Merz, while the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has nearly doubled its support.
This outcome signals a significant political shift in Europe, as AfD’s performance marks the strongest showing for a far-right party in Germany since World War II.
Coalition Talks Begin
The election determined the composition of the Bundestag, but the formation of a government now depends on coalition negotiations.
Friedrich Merz, the center-right opposition leader, must secure enough support to govern. Although he aims to move swiftly, the complexity of coalition-building could pose challenges.
Merz has expressed his intention to start discussions immediately with the Social Democrats (SPD) and hopes to finalize a coalition by Easter.
However, no formal deadlines exist for the process. Only once an agreement is reached will the 630 lawmakers in the new Bundestag vote to elect Germany’s next chancellor. The winner must secure at least 316 votes.
Merz’s Political Path
At 69, Friedrich Merz is set to become Germany’s 10th postwar chancellor if he successfully forms a coalition. His priorities include strengthening European unity and addressing security concerns amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the effects of a new U.S. administration and Russia’s war in Ukraine.
Olaf Scholz’s Role in the Transition
For now, outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz will continue in a caretaker role following the SPD’s significant defeat.
Meanwhile, the new Bundestag is required to convene within 30 days of the election, where it is expected to elect a new speaker.
Traditionally, this role is filled by a member of the strongest party, which in this case would be from Merz’s conservative bloc.
